Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 123.569395 140.725691 159.691915 182.263019 208.455578 237.967856 273.843986
2025-12-28 102.514924 125.682045 153.485536 189.509614 235.236024 291.719560 367.356631
2026-01-04 88.914772 114.842458 147.834088 193.293690 254.929781 336.479616 454.025604
2026-01-11 77.526525 104.326306 140.043948 191.746617 265.695307 369.209786 527.847845
2026-01-18 70.802455 98.749275 137.538979 196.194032 284.193838 413.818000 623.936530
2026-01-25 64.051388 92.119226 132.464180 195.830936 294.970279 447.744550 708.154330
2026-02-01 59.114941 87.436591 129.473017 197.852118 309.092109 487.935268 807.673494
2026-02-08 53.592331 81.224650 123.402246 194.158376 313.313581 512.267693 883.582535
2026-02-15 50.020467 77.616635 120.896683 195.716694 326.063025 551.996922 992.141474
2026-02-22 46.992186 74.542355 118.864695 197.693454 339.527377 594.342796 1111.764389
2026-03-01 43.043378 69.588501 113.245002 192.831210 340.128878 613.246387 1188.631654
2026-03-08 39.790235 65.501919 108.684912 189.293091 342.595816 635.677981 1275.730402
2026-03-15 37.382145 62.906007 106.886422 191.403031 357.629479 687.737994 1441.898852
2026-03-22 35.995963 61.992310 108.016318 199.234381 385.208979 770.002671 1693.355858
2026-03-29 34.197998 60.147638 107.236654 203.246688 405.597665 840.565571 1933.625273
2026-04-05 31.858113 57.075767 103.841001 201.611045 413.852593 885.967518 2122.987031
2026-04-12 30.517743 55.740188 103.592216 206.315093 436.413672 967.318435 2422.471359
2026-04-19 28.725854 53.369798 101.077540 205.931023 447.494508 1023.543819 2668.494312
2026-04-26 27.363910 51.713424 99.814297 208.069027 464.666009 1097.488021 2982.335723
2026-05-03 25.524969 48.946563 96.023848 204.161902 466.875807 1134.043606 3196.130139
2026-05-10 24.366755 47.461409 94.754569 205.810183 482.918152 1209.493299 3548.514404
2026-05-17 23.337136 46.152766 93.732028 207.901186 500.380090 1291.953421 3946.126373
2026-05-24 21.786518 43.625041 89.849890 202.758186 498.368117 1319.759706 4169.418213